Dairy Export Incentive Program

September 8, 2009

DEIP Update: Export Destinations Appear to Be Changing

By Rob Blaufuss, Economic Analyst

On May 22, 2009, the U.S. Department of Agriculture announced the reintroduction of the Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP), the first announced allocations since 2006/2007. DEIP is designed to open foreign markets to U.S nonfat dry milk, cheese and butter by compensating U.S. exporters for the costs associated with procuring and delivering product to an overseas port.

The total announced allocation was 68,201 metric tons of nonfat dry milk; 21,097 metric tons of butterfat; 3,030 metric tons of cheese; and 34 metric tons of other dairy products, the maximum allowable yearly allocation levels consistent with U.S. World Trade Organization obligations. Before the end of the DEIP year, June 30, 2009, USDA accepted bids totaling 20,025 metric tons of nonfat dry milk, 1,862 metric tons of butterfat and 152 metric tons of cheese. The total cost of DEIP bonuses for these products was $5.62 million.

With a new DEIP year beginning, on July 6, 2009 USDA announced new allocations equal to our annual WTO limits minus the total accepted bids prior to June 30. Through September 2, 2009, USDA has accepted bids for 17,183 metric tons of nonfat dry milk, 5,045 metric tons of butter and 236 metric tons of cheese at a total cost of approximately $8.12 million.

Nonfat dry milk bonuses during DEIP year ending June 30, 2009, totaled just over $4 million dollars with an average bonus of $201/metric ton, or $0.09/pound. The majority of the nonfat dry milk (61 percent) went to Africa and the Middle East, followed by Asia and the former Soviet Union (36 percent). On average, bonuses for nonfat dry milk going to Africa and the Middle East were more than double that of exports to Asia and the former Soviet Union.

The export destinations appear to be changing, however, during the first part of the new DEIP year. Since July 1, 2009, Asia and Eurasia, which imported a minimal amount of nonfat dry milk during the last DEIP year, have so far imported the bulk of the DEIP nonfat dry milk exports (81 percent), while Africa and the Middle East only made up (19 percent).

While the average nonfat dry milk bonus level for exports into Asia and Eurasia increased by about 30 percent, the average bonus for exports to Africa and the Middle East declined by close to 17 percent. In the new DEIP year, exports of butterfat have increased 170 percent over 2008/2009 levels, with bonus levels increasing on average about 2.6 percent. Total DEIP cheese exports still remain minimal, but average bonuses have increased dramatically.

Table 1. Accepted Nonfat Dry Milk DEIP Bids (2008/2009 & 2009/2010 YTD)

 Product  Allocation  Destination  Amount  Bonus/MT  $/Pound
 2008/2009          
 Nonfat Dry Milk
 20,025        
     Asia & Eurasia
 473  $125  $0.0567
     Asia & Former Soviet Union
 7,306  $116  $0.0526
     Africa & Middle East
 12,174  $255  $0.1157
     Carib/Cent & S America
 72  $170  $0.0771
 2009/2010 YTD          
 Nonfat Dry Milk  17,183        

   Asia & Eurasia  13,983 $179 $0.0812
     Asia & Former Soviet Union  0 $0 $0.0000
     Africa & Middle East  3,200 $212 $0.0962
    Carib/Cent & S America  0 $0 $0.0000

Table 2. Accepted Butterfat and Cheese DEIP Bids (2008/2009 & 2009/2010 YTD)

   Commodity  Allocation  Bonus/MT  $/Pound
 2008/2009  Butterfat  1,862  $856  $0.3883
 2009/2010 YTD
 Butterfat  5,045  $879  $0.3987
         
 2008/2009  Cheese  152  $100  $0.0454
 2009/2010 YTD
 Cheese  236  $439  $0.1991

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